The euro remains relatively stable, trading just below the 1.08 level, as the second day of Easter and a subdued agenda temper investor activity.
Last week’s trading session saw minimal volatility, largely attributed to ongoing holiday observances, notably Catholic Easter. During this time, the euro experienced mild losses, with the 1.08 level facing significant pressure before ultimately retracting.
This trend aligns with earlier forecasts, indicating the potential vulnerability of the 1.08 level. While trading activity was subdued, macroeconomic indicators released last week further favored the US dollar, underscoring its robust economic performance compared to its European counterpart.
Despite concerns surrounding inflated prices in international stock markets, the euro found some support against sharper declines. However, the possibility of a notable correction, which could strengthen the US dollar as a traditional safe-haven currency, remains a distinct possibility.
Today’s market agenda remains relatively quiet, with the ISM Manufacturing Sector Index from the US being the sole highlight. Conversely, there are no significant news releases or speeches expected from the European side.
Given the prevailing holiday mood and subdued market sentiment, the most probable scenario is for the exchange rate to maintain its current narrow range. With investors exercising caution and refraining from making significant bets, stability is anticipated in the near term.