The Australian dollar staged a recovery against the US dollar, buoyed by a resurgence in risk sentiment following a string of recent losses. The AUD benefited from reduced concerns over a broader conflict in the Middle East and positive earnings reports from major tech companies. Known for its high-beta nature, the Australian currency has historically mirrored movements in the S&P 500, tracking closely with the US index. As the S&P 500 navigated a volatile recovery this week, driven by strong earnings from mega-cap tech firms, the AUD mirrored this upward trajectory.
Additionally, an uptick in Australian inflation added to the AUD’s gains, leading market expectations to shift away from anticipating rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia in 2024. Looking ahead, further positive market sentiment may be on the horizon with upcoming earnings releases from Apple and Amazon, potentially fueling continued risk-taking behavior.
In terms of technical levels, the AUD faces a resistance point at 0.6590, with immediate challenges at the 50 and 200-day simple moving averages as the new week unfolds. The currency’s recent performance underscores its sensitivity to broader market dynamics, particularly in response to risk appetite and major economic indicators.